Posts filed under 'Boeing Current Market Outlook'

Boeing Reports Fourth Quarter Earnings

Boeing today announced its fourth quarter, year end earnings.

As advised, the company maintained its delivery target of between 480-485 airplanes, having delivered 481 units during 2009.

The stand-out items for the period ended 2009 are as follows:

- Revenue grew to $68.3 billion while earnings reflected solid core operating performance affected by previously announced events

- Operating cash flow of $5.6 billion reflects strong management of working capital

- Cash and marketable securities of $11.2 billion provides strong liquidity for 2010

- Backlog of $316 billion - over four times current annual revenue

Boeing Logo (Corporate1)

Image courtesy of Boeing

While EPS was lower, full year revenues were up 12% on the back of stronger deliveries in the first full year after the IAM machinist strike during the fall of 2008.

Boeing reaffirmed first flight of the 747-8F this year, with deliveries scheduled to commence by the fourth quarter, alongside the 787-8. Its guidance for commercial deliveries this year falls around 5% between 460-465 against 481 for 2009. Boeing also expects that spending on R&D will fall in FY11, with around $1.9bn marked for the second 787 final assembly line in South Carolina.

R&D for this year is expected to be between $3.9bn and $4.1bn

From the conference call, key details are as follows:

Jim McNerney

• Year of significant achievement
• Global recession resulted in lower orders and lower delivery prices
• DoD budget pressures
• Record revenue for the year
• Strong earnings
• Defense, Space & Security showed double-digit growth margins
• Cash performance “outstanding”
• Important milestones achieved in 2009
• First 777F delivery
• P8-A first flight
• Backlog of $316bn
• BCA backlog of $250bn (7x annual revenue)
• DSS backlog of $65bn
• Pleased with C-17 sales
• Less risk in supply chain after Vought/Global Aeronautica purchases
• 787 first flight – historic moment in aviation
• Continue to expand flight test envelope, more rigorous flight test regime
• All six flight test 787s flying by end of Q2 2010
• Aim for 10x 787s per month by end of 2013
• 747-8F first flight in very near future
• 747-8I EIS in Q4 2011
• Continue to see long term order value in 747-8 family
• Significant growth potential despite challenging environment
• Recession has impacted traffic growth
• 271 deferrals, 121 cancellations, 57 deferrals in Q4 2009
• Deferral rate decreased
• Oversold for FY 2011
• 9,300 job cuts completed in 2009
• Target is to get 787 into hands of customers
• Things to look at: 787 deliveries, progress at Charleston
• Order outlook: Book-to-build below 1 for 2010
• 737 re-engining decision will come quicker than decision on 777 update/replacement
• Block improvements on 787 are on track
• 787 weight within customer mission requirements
• Do not anticipate major modifications to 787
• Initial airworthiness certificate came quickly
• Customer base pushing Boeing to consider 737 re-engining as well as replace 737 family
• Less to do with obsolescence of 737NG than on airplane productivity
• Unidentified 737 orders due for delivery beyond 2011
• Financial strength in market place
• Growth in Chinese financing
• Close to 30 787s in inventory by year end / first delivery
• New opportunities to sell (747) at new prices as it proves itself (in flight tests)
• Confident of (747-8) marketability
• 747-8F productivity significant over other freighters
• Pickup in 747-8I activity
• No problem with profitability of 747-8 family if achieves half of “740” perceived market

James Bell

• Record $6.83bn revenue
• Operating cash flow $5.6bn
• BCA recorded 11.% margin in Q4 2009
• 787 costs rise by $1.3bn
• 787 not in loss position – accounts for side of body fix, schedule changes and R&D adjustments
• Zero margins on delivery, increase as further deliveries commence
• DSS - $8.5bn revenue with 9.7% margin in Q4 2009
• BCC provided $766m financing in 2009
• $1.5bn put into pension plan
• Strong liquidity
• Lower 777 volumes
• EPS target $3.70-$.400
• Few 787 and 747-8F deliveries in FY10
• Higher revenue seen in FY11 on higher widebody output
• $500m decrease in R&D in FY11
• Potential 737/777 investment
• Production sold out in 2011 and oversold
• Costs on 787 deliveries will be higher than R&D expensed 787s (x3)

34 comments January 27th, 2010

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